Warnock has a narrow lead over Walker in the runoff, according to AARP poll

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The runoff race between Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and Republican candidate Herschel Walker remains close in Georgia, an AARP survey find

Warnock leads Walker by four points, 51%-47%, among likely runoff voters of all ages, a margin within the poll’s 4.4% margin of error.

Among all independent voters, Warnock leads Walker by 15 percentage points, 54% – 39%. One of the only major demographics where Walker has an advantage over Warnock is among voters 50 and older, where Walker has a nine-point advantage, 53% – 44%.

Walker also has a narrow lead among voters without a college degree and among white voters of all ages. Meanwhile, Warnock leads among voters under 50 by 24 percentage points, 61% – 37%.

Warnock also leads among women of all ages by 11 points, 55% – 44%.

The AARP poll also asked likely voters for their opinion of each candidate. Fifty-one percent of all likely voters view Warnock favorably, while 45% of likely voters in the same age group view Walker favorably.

Forty-five percent of likely voters view Warnock unfavorably, while 49% view Walker unfavorably.

Among independent voters, Warnock has a net positive favorability rating, with 52% of this group viewing him favorably and 39% viewing him unfavorably. The same group gives Walker a 37% favorability rating and a 53% unfavorable rating.

Walker’s favorability rating is only above 50% among Republicans, men over 50, voters over 65, white voters and voters without a college degree.

Meanwhile, Warnock’s favorability rating is above 50% among all likely voters, voters under 50, Democrats, Independents, women, black voters, and voters with a college degree.

The AARP poll was conducted November 11-17 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. The poll has a statewide representative sample of 500 likely voters, with an oversample of 550 voters age 50+ and an additional oversample of 133 black voters age 50+. The survey was conducted by landline, cell phone, and text to the web.

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